> JXTG changes company name to ENEOS > Behind the scenes politics at JXTG, now ENEOS > Japan gasoline prices rises for 6 consecutive weeks > Japan protests Russian oil & gas exploration in EEZ > Toho Gas markets system for boosting calorific value > Tokyo Gas to release highly-efficient fuel cell > Japan tells utilities told to extend payment holidays > KEPCO: Former directors sued for 9.2 billion yen → KEPCO apologizes, reveals directors’ salaries > Power demand slumps 12% in automotive heartland > TEPCO raises bond sales limit for this fiscal year > Tepco offers monthly plan with no basic fee > Householder energy consumption jumps 8% > J-Power to transfer thermal assets to unit > Hokuriku Electric apologizes for low share price > Mizuho reject AGM demand to end coal financing > Japan seeks bidders for 1st floating wind farm > Kyushu Electric aims for 5GW of renewables by 2030 > Power companies push for nuclear restarts at AGMs > JERA establishes floating wind power JV with France > Zero-emission platform gaining traction in Japan
BREAKING… > afterFIT to build Hokkaido’s top wind farm at 471MW
DATA
> Oil imports volume > Processed oil volume > Domestic sales by fuel type > Japan Oil Import Price (JCC) > LNG import volumes (all Japan) > LNG import volumes (Gas Cos) > LNG Imports (Japan vs Gas Cos) > City gas sales by sector > LNG import price (JLC) > Total power demand > JEPX Spot prices
ANALYSIS / CONTEXT:
> Japan electric utilities use pandemic to cool LNG purchases, accelerating strategy of easing away from gas in favor of nuclear > One more step in gasoline chain market consolidation keeps Japan prices closely tied to Dubai benchmark
CONTACT US nrgnews@yuri-invest-research.com
NEWS
OIL JXTG changes company name to “ENEOS” (Sekiyu Tsushin, June 26)
JXTG Holdings has officially changed its name to ENEOS Holdings.
The resolution was ratified at the June 25 meeting of shareholders.
Just three years after Japan’s largest oil company JX Holdings (now ENEOS) merged with third-ranked Tonen General to form JXTG Holdings, former Nippon Oil executives have achieved complete domination of the JXTG board.
JX, itself the product of mergers between Nippon Oil and several other competitors, was characterized by a distinctly Japanese corporate culture. Tonen, on the other hand, inherited a rational, westernised culture from Exxon Mobil.
JX executives detested their Tonen colleagues’ relentless pursuit of efficiency.
While the makeup of JXTG’s first Board of Directors attempted to achieve a balance between JX and Tonen, JX executives subsequently used their greater numbers to push out all Tonen people.
With the change of the name to ENEOS, all traces of the Tonen roots are gone.
Executive Officer Saito Takeshi has a reputation for being sharp witted, and is popular with gas station proprietors.
Regular gasoline price at the pump was 220.9 yen per liter, up 0.7 yen on the previous week. This is the 6th straight weekly increase, mirroring the comeback in global crude oil prices and the return of demand locally.
Gasoline sales are back to same level as year ago, says one unnamed gasoline station operator in Tokyo area
Japan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs says it has been informed by Russian counterparts that Russia has commenced a geographical survey in the Sea of Okhotsk, which will impinge on Japan’s exclusive economic zone (EEZ).
The survey is planned to last for three months, and will evaluate the size of petroleum deposits and the area’s viability for military exercises.
Japan has condemned the survey, which will take place near a group of Russian islands over which Japan claims sovereignty.
Toho Gas is ramping up efforts to market a proprietary system that allows more efficient mixing of natural gas and LPG, thereby offering cost savings of 10% compared with existing technologies, and a carbon footprint that is 40% smaller.
The AtoMS system claims to more efficiently atomise the LPG mixed with reticulated natural gas. It is aimed at major gas users such as factories and hospitals.
Toho aims to sell two systems per year to new and existing operators.
Tokyo Gas plans to release a solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC) in the early 2020s that achieves a record 65% efficiency.
The fuel cell will have an output of 5 kW and is aimed at convenience stores, offices, and other small commercial premises.
CONTEXT: Competitor Osaka gas released a domestic fuel cell with an efficiency of 55% in April, while Mitsubishi Hitachi Power Systems recently released a 220-kW fuel cell that is also 55% efficient. Efficiency of 65% represents a significant improvement.
SIDE DEVELOPMENT: Osaka Gas’s fuel cell has recently been selected by South Korea, which plans to use it to build out hydrogen filling infrastructure such as for hydrogen-fuelled vehicles (FCVs).
The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry said on June 24 that electricity and gas utilities must now extend the reprieve given to subscribers affected by the coronavirus pandemic to 4 months.
CONTEXT: Individuals and businesses who have lost income due to the coronavirus pandemic are required to apply to their energy utilities to receive a payment holiday.
Five shareholders of Kansai Electric Power Co. have sued 22 former executives, including ex-chairman Yagi Makoto and former CEOs Iwane Shigeki and Morimoto Takashi, for 9.2 billion yen in damages in relation to recent bribery revelations.
The shareholders say the directors’ use of revenue from electricity subscribers to pay personal taxes amounts to a serious breach of trust, and described KEPCO’s actions in topping up executive salaries as a “fraudulent hiking of electricity tariffs”.
KEPCO convened a meeting of shareholders on June 25, the first since bribery revelations involving former directors came to light.
The chair kicked off the meeting with an apology for the incident.
In response to a question, KEPCO disclosed the amounts of compensation paid to former directors Yagi Makoto and Iwane Shigeki in 2019. (Both men received 44 million yen.) SIDE DEVELOPMENT: KEPCO also said it will and adopt a new committee structure in which the oversight and executive functions are separated.
Chubu Electric Power CEO Hayashi Kingo revealed that demand for electricity in May had fallen over 12% after manufacturers and commercial operations shut down amid coronavirus fears.
The slump is the biggest since April 2017 and continues a streak of 7 straight months of demand deflation compared with year earlier.
SIDE DEVELOPMENT: In contrast, June demand (as of June 24) in the central Japan area that includes Toyota Motor’s heartland, of was only down 5.4% YoY (Denki Shimbun)
TEPCO raised its bond sales limit this fiscal year to 700 billion yen from 450 billion yen (Denki Shimbun, June 23)
The co. has already sold 280 billion yen in bonds this FY.
TEPCO offers monthly plan with no basic fee via tie-up with Yamada Homes (Denki Shimbun, June 26)
TEPCO will launch the new price plan with no basic monthly fee for new homeowners through a tie-up with residential builder Yamada Homes.
A typical family of four in the Kanto region can expect to save nearly ¥20,000 per year with the new plan.
A survey of patterns in energy consumption during the coronavirus pandemic conducted by the Jyukankyo Research Institute found that household energy consumption (electricity, gas, and kerosene) rose 7.7% against the previous year.
Another survey commissioned by energy platform developer Enechange found that power consumption in pachinko parlours and hotels fell by over 30%.
At a meeting of shareholders, the CEO of the Hokuriku Electric Power Co. apologised for the co.’s share price performance, which is currently at its fourth lowest level ever. He pledged to improve performance.
The shares stood at ¥672 at the end of trading on June 25, 40% below the level at the beginning of the year.
CEO Kanai Yutaka promised to rectify faults with coal-fired power stations so that they could be reliably returned to service.
Mizuho Financial Group shareholders rejected a resolution from some of their peers that sought an end to the bank’s financing of coal power project. Mizuho is among the world’s biggest lender to coal-fired generation projects.
Shareholders accounting for 34.5% of the votes backed the resolution, which asked Mizuho to also disclose climate risks and its actions in light of the Paris Agreement. SIDE DEVELOPMENT: Shareholders of TEPCO also rejected a proposal for the electric utility to cease coal fire generation, as well as a proposal that sought a delay to the construction of the Higashidori Nuclear Power Plant.
As AGMs were convened around the country by Japan’s power utilities, executives advocated for the continued use of nuclear energy.
Chubu Electric Power CEO Hayashi Kingo told shareholders that nuclear power remains essential because it offers an alternative to fossil fuels and can be economical.
JERA said June 22 that it has reached a basic agreement to establish a floating offshore wind power development company with France’s Ideol, a maker of the offshore technology, and a French state company.
The three parties will form a company in France, in which JERA will be an investor for around 30 percent. The idea is to build 2GW of offshore technology within 5 years.
Western oil firms spent large on exploration permits and now are forced to write down the value of their assets as the coronavirus pandemic forces restructuring.
Coronavirus has put the Paris agreement back in the spotlight because the pandemic is expected to result in an 8% reduction in CO2 emissions in 2020. To achieve the Paris Agreement target of 7.6%, current emission levels must be maintained.
Idemitsu Kosan CEO Kito says Idemitsu will need to revise profit targets in light of the slump in demand. Kito says Idemitsu will turn focus to high function fuels.
The pandemic has forced energy and utility companies to make genuine efforts to move away from fossil fuels. Those who cannot afford to transition to renewables quickly may not be unable to escape the risk of oil dependency until it is too late.
BACKGROUND: Zero-carbon initiatives are gaining momentum in Japan. Last week saw the first meeting of the Tokyo Bay Zero Emissions Initiative, which is led by Japan’s top oil and electricity utilities. The meeting was also attended by officials from both the energy ministry and local governments. A similar imitative spearheaded by Japan’s big-business lobby Keidanren, is called “Challenge Zero”. The latter aims to create a society by 2050 that does not use carbohydrates. The domestic gas firms are charged with developing certain parts of the roadmap for the initiative, such as how to reduce carbon in city gasification by exploring fuel cells, carbon storage, and hydrogen.
OIL DATA
GAS DATA
ELECTRICITY DATA
ANALYSIS
COMMENT
Japan EPCOs slow LNG buying, seeking faster switch to nuclear
In early April, the Independent Commodity Intelligence Services (ICIS) released a report forecasting that Japan’s LNG imports will shrink 1.1% YoY to 76.2 million tons. That increasingly looks over-optimistic, as purchases by Japanese power utilities drop off a cliff.
More than a straight response to lower demand due to coronavirus-induced “lockdowns,” the lower imports seem like an accelerating response to the longer-term goal of reducing LNG’s share of Japan’s energy mix.
Japan’s total LNG imports in April fell 15.5% versus the average for the last 5 years. In May, there were down 23.4% vs 5y avg. To be sure, Japan has slowly reduced purchases over the years, yet even in 2019, for 3 of the months import volumes punched above the 5y avg line. LNG use in April 2020 fell 6% from a year earlier, yet LPG usage and natural gas figures were up in the period.
A milder winter in 2019/2020 helped gas inventories grow 6.7% in April, compared with a year earlier. Still, inventories are down from their Dec. 19 peak.
Yet, the pullback in Japan’s LNG imports for April and May far exceeds the mitigating factors above. It also exceeds the demand drop from Japan’s industrial, commercial and residential users. While exact figures for domestic sales since April are not yet available, gas sales in 1Q of 2019 were close to their 5y avg and Japan’s industrial production was down just 9.8% MoM in April. That indicates the biggest loss of interest in LNG volumes comes from Japan’s power utilities (the regional EPCOs). Again, data for total power demand after February is not yet available, yet there is an approximate picture in the power price trend.
Comparing the monthly average JEPX spot price change from January to June over recent years, we see that this year’s 31.5% drop compares with -20.2% in 2017, -24.5% in 2018, and -20.7% in 2019. Clearly, there is a drop in power demand. And yet, that percentage point drop looks like it is in the single digits, not too dissimilar to the change in industrial production.
Japan’s 2020 LNG imports are already running at a pace of minus 6.9% YoY (based on Jan-May data, the latest available).
An optimist might see Japan’s EPCOs opportunistically coming back into the LNG market later in the year, tempted by lower prices. One other way to view this is as an opportunistic move by EPCOs to revert to the strategy of scaling back Japan’s LNG interest over the 2020s. In 2017, LNG accounted for 39.5% of Japan’s power generation, according to OCCTO data. For 2030, the government wants LNG’s share to fall to 27%, making room for more nuclear generation.
In times of great global upheavals, as this year, Japan remembers that it is extremely reliant on overseas fossil fuels for its energy needs and that thought brews concern. EPCO executives used the AGMs last week to talk up use of Japan’s nuclear power capacity, which has been mostly dormant since the 2011 accident at Fukushima Dai-Ichi station.
Expect a stronger industry push to re-start idled nuclear stations in the next few years and for that LNG number to keep inching down.
CONTEXT
No. of major gasoline chain brands in Japan shrinks to 2
Idemitsu Kosan Co. and Showa Shell Sekiyu Co. agreed to merge in April 2019. Since then, the two companies have worked to unify crude purchasing and refining operating. Earlier this month announceda rebranding of the merged firm’s gas station brands to “apollostation”.
Unified brand to control about 32% of domestic gas sales
Market leader ENEOS (formerly JXTG) controls close to 53% of Japan sales
Cosmo, Kygnus, Solato (Taiyo Oil) the other firms competing at the pump in Japan
Japan had 15 firms competing for gasoline sales in the early 1980s
Market restructuring driven by shrinking population, lower car ownership rate, expanding public transport
Gasoline sales down about 12% since 2000
Consolidation is helping domestic gasoline prices follow more closely the Dubai crude benchmark: Nikkei
The Middle East is source for 80% of Japan’s crude imports
JAPAN ENERGY WEEKLY NEWS ALERT June 20 to June 26, 2020 COMPANIES IN FOCUS NEWS > JXTG changes company name to ENEOS > Behind the scenes politics at JXTG, now…