
June 14, 2021
NEWS
TOP
ENERGY TRANSITION & POLICY
ELECTRICITY MARKETS
OIL, GAS & MINING
ANALYSIS
TOYOTA-BACKED FIRM FINDS COST-EFFECTIVE WAY TO MAKE HYDROGEN FROM ALUMINUM
Due to the vast amounts of power required to produce each ingot, aluminum is known as ‘electricity in metal form’. Now, scientists hope aluminum can give back some of that energy and become one more resource in the arsenal of clean energy. A Japanese aluminum firm backed by Toyota Motor has successfully tested a method to generate hydrogen from the metal’s castoffs, and at a cost on par with specialist hydrogen manufacturers. This development might have significant ramifications for Japan’s energy sector, and especially for the country’s goal to reduce carbon emissions by 2030, as well as by 2050.
CYBER SECURITY A GROWING CONCERN FOR JAPAN’S ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE AS ATTACKS ON THE RISE
Japan’s preparedness for cyber attacks against its energy infrastructure remains low and the issue will only become more urgent as the country moves to a clean energy economy, industry experts warn. Last month, Toshiba, a major nuclear equipment supplier, became the latest Japanese firm to reveal that its systems were breached amid a dramatic surge in ransomware attacks against the nation’s companies. Toshiba’s adversary was DarkSide, the same group that committed the high-profile takedown of Colonial Pipeline in the U.S. A shift to clean energy will only increase the digitalization and remote connectivity of Japan’s power grids and other crucial energy areas.
GLOBAL VIEW
Korea announces plans to work on floating nuclear plants. Iraq to build 8 nuclear reactors. G7 launch a Belt & Road rival scheme. Biofuel demand surges in the U.S. Hawaii CO2 readings are at highest in 65 years. And, global oil prices surge to 2018 levels.
Details on these and more in our global wrap.
EVENT CALENDAR / DATA SECTION
PUBLISHER
K. K. Yuri Group
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Editorial Team
Yuriy Humber (Editor-in-Chief)
Tom O’Sullivan (Japan, Middle East, Africa)
John Varoli (Americas)
Regular Contributors
Mayumi Watanabe (Japan)
Daniel Shulman (Japan)
Takehiro Masutomo (Japan)
Art & Design
22 Graphics Inc.
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OFTEN USED ACRONYMS
METI The Ministry of Energy, Trade and Industry
ANRE Agency for Natural Resources and Energy
NEDO New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization
TEPCO Tokyo Electric Power Company
KEPCO Kansai Electric Power Company
EPCO Electric Power Company
JCC Japan Crude Cocktail
JKM Japan Korea Market, the Platt’s LNG benchmark
CCUS Carbon Capture, Utilization and Storage
mmbtu Million British Thermal Units
mb/d Million barrels per day
mtoe Million Tons of Oil Equivalent
kWh Kilowatt hours (electricity generation volume)
Politics is taking over energy strategy: New Energy Plan may be delayed
Japanese lawmakers to form group to support zero-carbon steel
(Sankei Shimbun, June 7)
Japan government mulls ranking municipalities based on carbon neutrality
(Japan NRG, June 7)
Government study shows 60% of sectors behind 2030 emission goals
(Japan NRG, June 7)
METI plans to establish Asian CCUS network
(Kankyo Business, June 8)
Toshiba trials carbon capture tech in Kyushu, aims to broaden adoption
(SankeiBiz, June 7)
Mitsubishi’s hydrogen turbine promises zero emissions
(Sankei News, June 7)
Researchers use bacteria to create plastic from CO2
(Nikkei, June 7)
University of Hyogo develops new hydrogen catalyst
(Mynavi Tech, June 7)
Toyota trials marine biofuel in Singapore
(New Energy Business News, June 7)
Toray, TEPCO and Takaoka in power-to-gas green hydrogen trial
(New Energy Business News, June 9)
Toyota considers building hydrogen supply chain in Fukushima
(New Energy Business News, June 9)
New technology promises cheaper hydrogen filling stations
(Newswitch, June 9)
Chugoku Electric invests in tech firm that controls storage batteries
(New Energy Business News, June 8)
| No. of operable nuclear reactors | 33 | |
| of which | applied for restart | 25 |
| approved by regulator | 16 | |
| restarted | 9 | |
| in operation today | 7 | |
| able to use MOX fuel | 4 | |
| No. of nuclear reactors under construction | 3 | |
| No. of reactors slated for decommissioning | 27 | |
| of which | completed work | 1 |
| started process | 4 | |
| yet to start / not known | 22 | |
Spot Electricity Prices, Monthly Avg.

Source: Company websites, JANSI and JAIF, as of June. 9, 2021
TOCOM sees jump in power futures trading parties and volumes also surge
(Jiji, June 9)
TAKEAWAY: A small drop-off in volumes on the EEX recently is in part due to the market place starting to charge fees after waving them during the launch period. Still, EEX volumes continue to be high while that of rival TOCOM are growing. This indicates that the power market as a whole is in expansion mode spurred on by memories of the January power price spike and ongoing pressure from the government to have more industry participants embrace risk-hedging in their operations. The next test for the nascent power futures market may be the summer peak period.
Some thermal plants not able to cut output during power curtailment phases
(Japan NRG, June 8)
How Japan aims to grow offshore wind market by a factor of 7,000 in 20 years
(Asahi Shimbun Globe, June 7)
IEEJ Researcher: Japan’s economic renewables capacity likely around 1.1 TWh
(Yomiuri Shimbun, June 10)
Hitachi’s DC power grid ambitions
(Nikkei, June 7)
Toshiba consortium to aggregate 1.2 GW of renewable capacity
(Kankyo Business, June 10)
Fukushima storage tanks to be replaced over leakage concerns
(NHK, June 7)
Japan Oil Price: $66.26/ barrel
¥ $

Japan (JLC) LNG Price: $7.56/ mmbtu
¥ $

Japan aims to be self-sufficient in copper by 2050
(SankeiBiz, June 7)
TAKEAWAY: Wishing to be self-sufficient and actually achieving it are quite different things. The news shows at least that the government is becoming away of the critical raw material supply shortages that are propping up all over the world. However, Japan’s current strategy seems skewed towards hoping there will be enough recycled metal to maintain future production.
Conditions ripe for surge in gas prices
(Business Journal, June 7)
ENEOS to raise ¥300 billion in bond issue to invest in decarbonization, materials
(Nikkei, June 4)
BY MAYUMI WATANABE
Toyota-backed firm hopes to utilize aluminum to produce hydrogen-based energy
Due to the vast amounts of power required to produce each ingot, aluminum is sometimes known as ‘electricity in metal form’. Now, scientists hope aluminum can give back some of that power and become one more resource in the arsenal of clean energy.
A Japanese aluminum firm backed by Toyota Motor has successfully tested a method to generate hydrogen from the metal’s castoffs, and at a cost on par with specialist hydrogen manufacturers. This development might have significant ramifications for Japan’s energy sector, and especially for the country’s goal to reduce carbon emissions by 2030, as well as by 2050.
Alhytec Ltd., a company based in the Toyama prefecture, says it can already produce enough hydrogen each hour to power a fuel cell vehicle (FCV) for a total run of 700 km. While such capacity is still modest, it’s a milestone for Toyota, Japan’s leading maker of FCVs, as well as for the government’s effort to shift the transport sector toward electric and hydrogen power, away from gasoline.
Aluminum is an energy intensive metal, with electricity comprising an estimated 30-40% of its production costs. Anywhere between 12,500-15,000 kWh of power is needed to turn two tons of white granule alumina into a ton of silver aluminum metal. Alumina is processed from red-colored bauxite mineral, consuming roughly 2,250 kWh to convert four tons of bauxite into a ton of alumina.
Japan has no reserves of bauxite, nor alumina, nor aluminum plants. Resourceful Japanese technology venture firms are not daunted, however, and instead are exploring ways to produce energy from aluminum scrap and waste, making use of aluminum’s innate capability to separate hydrogen from water.
“Toyota hydrogen fuel cell at the 2014 New York International Auto Show” by Joseph Brent is licensed with CC BY-SA 2.0.
The separation method is as simple as soaking aluminum beverage cans in water. However, household aluminum products are coated by chemical layers to protect the metal from outside reactions, possibly causing corrosion and even explosion. Aluminum also has its own water protection mechanism, and automatically forms a layer of aluminum oxide on the surface. This prevents chemical reactions that will separate hydrogen in the water from oxygen.
For decades, research in the U.S., Japan and other countries explored how to prevent the formation of aluminum oxide and to uncover aluminum’s natural hydrogen production potential. Other bottlenecks were making the reaction happen repeatedly for continuous hydrogen production and the separation of gases. Even in its purest state aluminum contains iron, silicon, manganese and other elements that could generate gases.
Alhytec produces mobility-grade hydrogen
About 9-10 kilos of aluminum will produce a kilo of hydrogen. But first it’s important to be aware that there are two categories of aluminum: 1) primary or “virgin” aluminum straight from smelters; and 2) recycled “secondary” aluminum made from used cans, old window frames, and other used material. The price gap is roughly $2/kg between the super-pure 99.999% grade and the 99% recycled grade.
In May, Alhytec announced the launch of its continuous hydrogen production process using aluminum shreds generated at a manufacturing plant. The shreds were cut and reshaped for optimal chemical reaction, and were added into a solution comprised of sodium hydroxide and an unidentified catalyst.
A fuel cell vehicle requires about 5 kg of hydrogen for a full tank, according to the Japan Automobile Research Institute. ↑
Alhytec produced 5 kg of hydrogen in an hour, achieving a purity good enough to run a fuel cell vehicle[1]. The production cost, excluding that of aluminum shreds, was ¥1,000 ($9.20)/ kg, which is on par with prices of major hydrogen suppliers ENEOS and Iwatani. Toyota Motor has verified that Alhytec hydrogen was good enough for its vehicles[2].
The key to continuous production was found in the shape of the aluminum shreds; and an innovative technique effectively prevented air contact with the aluminum feedstock before dumping it into a solution that would not depreciate or degrade after generating hydrogen.
The company plans to work with Toyota on scaling up the equipment capacity and commercializing the hydrogen-making machine. The output could be used to fuel small vehicles and eventually power stations.
The company also sees opportunity in the Toyama prefecture with its large community of aluminum component makers due to the nearby Russian ports of Vladivostok and Vanino, from where primary and semi-recycled aluminum are shipped to Japan. Some of those manufacturing plants might be looking for alternative ways to re-use left-over aluminum.
Using lowest-grade aluminum
According to Alhyte’s model, the feedstock comes from a plant where the production environment has been controlled, providing complete visibility into the kind of aluminum in supply. A Kyoto-based technology firm, KK DFC, is also developing a process to re-use aluminum waste for hydrogen production.
Aluminum shreds and sheets typically contain 99% aluminum and are resold for recycling. Old aluminum window panels from dismantled houses trade at about $2/kg, and at such a price there’s more incentive to resell the scrap rather than use it for hydrogen production. For example, about 10 kg of aluminum, which costs in the range of $18-20, is needed to produce 1 kg of hydrogen that retails at $9.20.
Aluminum waste with 20-30% aluminum content is found at recycling plants and incinerators. In contrast to scrap, the waste has little economical value. The 20-30% aluminum in the waste could be removed and traded like used beverage cans, but the cost of separation, which involves washing it in running water, re-sizing of the material to fit various analysis equipment, analyzing the composition of each material and crafting a different chemical treatment solution for each, would not be recouped.
DFC has tested soaking the waste in a calcium hydroxide solution to produce hydrogen. But along with hydrogen, ammonia was produced, which isn’t compatible with fuel cells.
There are other challenges to scaling up such production. The main one is the need to build a local or international supply chain. Japan does not restrict the import of waste aluminum, also known as mixed metal. China, Taiwan, Malaysia and Vietnam categorize mixed metal as environmentally hazardous material and restrict its import, but exports are not regulated.
The 20 or so aluminum recyclers in Japan would be the best source of waste supply, but many are understaffed and do not have the bandwidth to develop new business lines. Nevertheless, the country’s largest aluminum recycler, Asahi Seiren, has shown enthusiasm for the “waste-to-energy” business.
Hydrogen boom attracts interest
So far, local governments and research institutes have shied away from approving funding for DFC’s R&D into metal-to-energy applications despite the recent boom in hydrogen. Alhytec has been more fortunate. It was deemed eligible to apply for funding from Japan’s state-backed research body NEDO.
Once the gas separation technique is perfected and other commercial issues are sorted, waste aluminum could indeed become an effective technology to produce green energy and make a contribution to Japan’s efforts to slash CO2 emissions.
According to Japanese hydrogen fuel standards, gas must be of a 99.97% purity. This means controlling 14 impurities (including carbon monoxide, helium, etc.) to keep them below a certain level. ↑
BY JOHN VAROLI
Cyber attacks an Increasing Concern for Japan
As Nation Prepares to Upgrade its Energy Infrastructure
Japan’s preparedness in defending its energy infrastructure against cyber attacks remains low and the issue will only become more urgent as the country moves to a clean energy economy, industry experts warn.
Toshiba, a major supplier of nuclear equipment and other energy infrastructure, last month became the latest Japanese firm to reveal that its systems had been hacked amid a dramatic surge in ransomware attacks against the nation’s companies in the last 18 months. Toshiba’s adversary was DarkSide, the same group that committed the high-profile takedown of Colonial Pipeline, the largest pipeline for refined fuel products in the U.S.
Because of digitalization and increased remote connectivity, power grids and other crucial areas of the energy industry are increasingly vulnerable to cyber attack. So far, Japan is viewed as not having done enough to strengthen energy security and protect its grid and other infrastructure against malignant criminal and state actors.
Growing concerns in Japan
While the Colonial attack grabbed global headlines, a recent swell in cyber attacks in Japan has gone largely unnoticed. However, research by CrowdStrike, a leading international security firm, revealed that more than half of the 200 major Japanese companies surveyed had recently fallen victim to ransomware cyber attacks. About 35% of those companies paid, on average, about the equivalent of $1 million in ransom to criminal groups, according to media reports.
In some cases like the ransomware attack against Honda in June 2020, the company’s computers across the globe were affected.
The attacks are coming from both criminal groups, such as DarkSide, and state-backed actors. Many of Japan’s recent attacks, for example, targeted companies in aerospace and were judged to be likely perpetrated by hackers associated with the Chinese military.
Cyber attacks are no longer the remit of rogue nations. In June 2019, the U.S. government was implicated in energy sector cyber attacks on the Russian power grid. The attacks were ostensibly in response to alleged Kremlin hacking of America’s power system, as well as alleged Russian interference in U.S. elections, according to a report in The New York Times.
Modern power systems, including nuclear generation facilities, are more vulnerable to such attacks as they embrace digitalization and the benefits of connectivity. That makes energy infrastructure especially attractive to state-sponsored hackers, who seek to cause damage more than financial gain.
Well aware of these dangers, in May the Biden administration launched a plan to thwart adversaries and to improve security of the U.S. power grid against cyber attacks. But in this uncertain atmosphere of vulnerability, what exactly is Japan doing to improve the cyber security of its energy sector? Unfortunately, as if to underline the country’s vulnerability to attack, there’s not much to report.
Experts are almost unanimous that Japan has much work to do to improve cyber security and protect its energy sector. Arai Hisamitsu, a former vice minister for international affairs at the METI, said in a recent interview with the Nikkei that Tokyo “lacks a sense of urgency” in confronting such threats.
Arai pointed to the U.S. as an example of where the military, police and security officials work together to detect attackers’ moves, and share information with companies to forewarn them. Such intelligence exchange between the state and the private sector has yet to be formalized in Japan, according to Arai.
Japan needs to “show the international community that it is serious about defense,” Arai said in the interview.
Those sentiments are shared by other cyber defense experts in Japan. The country is “lagging significantly” compared with other leading nations when it comes to assessing current cyber threats, Nawa Toshio, a senior director at the Cyber Defense Institute in Tokyo told the Japan Times.

An image of cyber attacks in real time. Source: “Cyber attacks” by Christiaan Colen, licensed with CC BY-SA 2.0.
Recent steps forward
While all of this is deeply concerning, there have been encouraging signs that at least some major companies in Japan’s energy sector are taking action. Japan’s first big effort to boost cyber security for the energy sector came in early 2020, when the Israel Electric Corporation (IEC), that country’s top electricity provider, signed an agreement with “a top Japanese energy utility… for cyber services, including support at the Tokyo Olympics,” said Yiftah Ron-Tal, director of the IEC, and a former major general in the Israel Defense Force.
Mr. Ron-Tal didn’t disclose the company’s name, but with a significant amount of certainty we can narrow it down to either TEPCO or Kansai Electric, two of the top power utilities. Neither company has publicly commented on their cyber security relationships and strategy.
TEPCO’s Kashiwazaki-Kariwa nuclear power plant was recently plagued by security breaches, though those were not related to cyber attacks. Earlier this year, it was revealed that an unauthorized worker had entered the station’s control room in breach of security protocols.
The fact that Japan’s energy companies are reaching out to partners such as IEC is encouraging. The Israeli company claims to be “subjected to an average 11,000 suspected cyber events per second in 2019, and is one of the most targeted organizations for cyberattacks in the world.” This exceptional experience has forced the IEC to develop some of the finest cyber security measures in the world. Clearly, Japan’s energy sector will certainly benefit from such cooperation.
The rest of Japan’s energy sector needs to follow suit, and begin to address the serious threats of cyber attacks.
To date, most Japanese power companies have worried about blackouts due to fuel shortages or sudden surges of internal demand. Cyber defense is now a new front line that Japan must prepare for in order to avoid even more devastating power blackouts.
BY TOM O’SULLIVAN
Below are some of last week’s most important international energy developments monitored by the Japan NRG team because of their potential to impact energy supply and demand, as well as prices. We see the following as relevant to Japanese and international energy investors.
Nuclear Power:
1). The Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute and Samsung Heavy Industries will cooperate to develop a molten salt reactor for marine propulsion and floating nuclear power plants. Samsung Heavy is also looking into the use of ammonia and hydrogen to power ships as alternative low-emission propulsion options.
2). Rosatom will submit to the Russian government a plan to invest $7 billion in new nuclear technologies by 2030. The ‘New Atomic Energy’ plan was presented for assessment to Russia’s State Council on Energy. If approved it will be included in the government’s socio-economic development strategy over the next decade and will include $2 billion of state support.
3). Unit 1 of the Ostrovets Plant, Belarus’ first nuclear power station, began commercial operation on June 10. The unit is the first VVER-1200 outside Russia.
4). Iraq is planning to build eight nuclear reactors to tackle crippling power shortages that have afflicted the country since the Allied invasion in 2003.
5). Canada’s oil sands producers have formed an alliance with federal and provincial governments to achieve net-zero greenhouse gas emissions from operations by 2050. The Oil Sands Pathways to Net Zero initiative will include an evaluation of small modular nuclear reactors as part of plans to accelerate the application of emerging emissions-reducing technologies.
6). Southern Co., the U.S. utility based in Georgia that is building the Vogle Nuclear power plant, announced that construction would be delayed by a year until Summer 2022 and would cost an additional $2 billion.
G7: Build Back Better vs. Belt & Road:
The G7 countries launched a new global infrastructure initiative, Build Back Better World (B3W), an infrastructure partnership led by major democracies to help build the $40+ trillion infrastructure need in the developing world, that has been exacerbated by the global pandemic.
The investments will be made in a manner consistent with achieving the goals of the Paris Climate Agreement.
Investments will be focused on developing economies in the Indo-Pacific, Caribbean, Africa, and Latin America.
Biofuels:
Demand for biofuels, including renewable diesel, has pushed prices of soyabean oil up by 70% in the U.S., YTD.
Wind Energy/Clean Energy Investments:
1). The Chairman of BASF and the CEO of Siemens Gamesa have called for a radical and urgent expansion of renewable energy inside the EU, including an easing of national planning rules and more energy integration in order to meet 2030 and 2050 decarbonization targets.
2). The IEA is also calling for clean energy investments in developing economies to increase by a factor of seven if the 2050 net-zero target is to be met.
Power Grid:
Texas approved new measures to deal with last January’s power outage including forcing power-plant owners to ensure fleets can operate during extreme cold weather, and forcing state agencies to map and fund critical infrastructure.
ESG:
Investors with almost $9 trillion in AUM, including JP Morgan and Fidelity, have targeted three Asian power companies, China Resources Power Holdings, Malaysia’s Tenaga, and Hong Kong’s CLP Holdings, because of their continuing use of coal-fired plants. Two Japanese companies were also targeted.
GHGs:
1). The European Court of Justice found Germany guilty of “systematically and persistently” exceeding NO2 emissions from diesel engines in 26 out of 89 regions between 2010 and 2016. The violating areas included Berlin, Hamburg, Munich, Stuttgart, and Frankfurt.
2). The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reported the highest levels of C02 concentrations in 65 years at the Mauna Loa Atmospheric Observatory in Hawaii, 419 parts per million, up from 417 in May 2020. The ppm readings have been over 400 for the last seven years.
3). French anti-fraud prosecutors charged Renault and Peugeot with emissions fraud in connection with sales of their diesel automobile businesses between 2009 and 2015, and set bail and bank guarantee terms.
4). International investors controlling $41tn in assets have called for governments to end support for fossil fuels and set targets for rapid reductions in carbon emissions to limit damage from global warming. The 457 investors, who account for a third of global AUM, signed a statement calling for governments to significantly strengthen plans to cut carbon emissions in the next decade and to introduce detailed targets for net zero emissions by 2050 or sooner.
EVs:
1). A China-based EV company, SAIC-GM-Wuling Automotive Co., a JV with GM, is now the best-selling EV manufacturer in China, having sold 270,000 units of the HongguangMini YTD. The retail cost is $4,500 compared with a Tesla Model 3, which costs $39,000 in China. Tesla sold 22,000 vehicles in China in May.
2). Rumors circulated last week that Lordstown Motors, the U.S. EV truck manufacturer, might file for bankruptcy protection due to cashflow difficulties. The company IPO’d via a SPAC in October 2020 and has a market capitalization of over $2 billion. It was scheduled to commence production in Ohio in September.
Hybrid Vehicles:
A Brussels-based transportation and environmental think-tank estimates that emission reductions from use of hybrid vehicles are negligible due to weak electric motors, large engines, and slow charging.
Aviation:
Vertical Aerospace, an electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft (eVTOL) maker, backed by American Airlines (AA) will go public in a SPAC deal valued at $2.2 billion. Vertical Aerospace has $4 billion of pre-orders for up to 1,000 eVTOL aircraft with launch customers including Avolon, AA, and Virgin Atlantic.
Archer Aviation also unveiled its first flying taxi last week.
Oil:
Oil prices continued to soar last week with WTI @ $71 and Brent @ $73 and US gasoline prices above $3 a gallon, the highest levels since 2018. $100 oil options are now the most widely owned options on the NY Mercantile Exchange with the World Bank now forecasting 5.6% economic growth this year. The IEA is predicting oil demand will recover to pre-pandemic levels in 2022. Rystad Energy is also now predicting oil demand will be 94 mbpd in 2030, falling to 36 mbpd in 2050.
Pipelines:
1). The FBI said it recovered most of the ransom paid by the Colonial Pipeline to a group known as, DarkSide. The ransom paid was 75 bitcoin or $4.4 million.
2). TC Energy cancelled the 2,000 km XL crude oil pipeline project last week that was meant to transport oil from Alberta to Nebraska.
Carbon Offset Market:
Mark Carney and Bill Winters believe that the market for carbon offsets could generate $100 billion of revenues this decade, up from $300 million in 2018 and plan to launch a new pilot program before COP26 in Glasgow in November. Some market participants are calling for these revenues to be used to construct cleaner mini-grids in developing countries.
China:
1). China Three Gorges Renewables IPO’d in Shanghai with a market capitalization of $17 billion and raised $3.5 billion.
2). China will halt subsidies for all commercial solar and onshore wind projects in 2021 due to falling manufacturing prices. Subsidies had reached $63 billion.
3). China has passed a law against foreign sanctions in response to U.S. and EU trade pressure including issues in Hong Kong and human rights in Xinjiang. Individuals or companies, including energy companies, involved in implementing international sanctions against Chinese interests could be put on an anti-sanctions list and may be denied entry into China or expelled from the country. Assets within China could be seized or frozen and the related individuals or corporations could be restricted from doing business there.
Saudi Arabia:
Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund will become the anchor investor in a new $800m Gulf infrastructure fund set up by Aberdeen Standard Investments and Investcorp.
Iran:
The U.S dropped energy sanctions on three Iranian officials and two companies as JCPOA talks proceed in the Austrian capital, Vienna. Iran will also hold a presidential election on Friday.
Russia:
Dutch energy trader Vitol will lead a consortium to acquire a 5% stake in Rosneft’s Arctic project, Vostok Oil, which has estimated reserves of six billion barrels of oil.
Africa:
1). Frazer Solar, a German solar company, started seizing offshore Lesotho assets to enforce contracts worth $60 million that the government signed to acquire and finance solar assets developed by Frazer, but the contracts were reneged on.
2). South Africa has introduced new legislation to allow companies to produce their own electricity as the country tries to deal with chronic power shortages and blackouts. Eskom, the state monopoly, currently generates over 90% of South Africa’s power requirements.
France:
The French government is calling for a reorganization of EDF, the majority state-owned nuclear energy monopoly, as it seeks higher prices for its nuclear output, and to split the operator into a nuclear/hydroelectric unit, and a ‘green’ unit.
Sweden:
Northvolt, the EV battery maker, raised $2.8 billion from investors in a private placement. VW recently signed a $14 billion order with Northvolt and is a 20% shareholder.
Italy:
Prime Minister Draghi has halted China’s Belt & Road engagement with Italy reversing the approval for some Chinese investments in the G7 country.
UK:
Britain’s banks and insurers will be tested by the UK central bank on how well-prepared they are to cope with climate change emergencies. The Bank of England will examine the risks rising temperatures and sea levels will create for the UK’s big banks and insurers. It will put 19 firms through stress tests involving three climate scenarios projected over the next 30 years.
U.S.:
1). U.S. Drought Monitor is reporting the worst drought in 20 years in parts of the Western U.S., causing severe depletions in some reservoirs.
2). DTE Energy will close all three coal-fired generating units at its Rover Rouge plant in Michigan. The units were built in 1958 and were the world’s largest at the time.
3). First Solar, the largest solar-panel manufacturer in the U.S. will build a new solar-panel plant in Ohio at an investment of $680 million, one of the largest investments in solar manufacturing in the U.S. in a decade.
Puerto Rico:
Puerto Rico suffered another catastrophic power outage this week when Luma Energy assumed responsibility for the island’s grid. It was compounded by a cyber-attack that generated two million hits per second on the company’s computer systems.
Mexico:
President Lopez Obrador maintained his Morena Party’s house majority in Mexico’s congressional mid-term elections last week, allowing him to continue with his program of nationalizing and re-regulating parts of Mexico’s energy complex. This includes Mexico’s electricity market, and rolling back energy deregulation. Lopez Obrador’s approval ratings stand at around 65% after three years in office.
A selection of domestic and international events we believe will have an impact on Japanese energy.
| February | Approval of Fiscal 2021 Budget by Japanese parliament including energy funding projects;
CMC LNG Conference |
| March | 10th Anniversary of Fukushima Nuclear Accident;
Smart Energy Week – Tokyo; Quarterly OPEC Meeting; Japan LPG Annual Conference; Full completion of all aspects of the multi-year deregulation of Japan’s electricity market; End of 2020/21 Fiscal Year in Japan; |
| April | Japan Atomic Industrial Forum – Annual Nuclear Power Conference;
38th ASEAN Annual Conference-Brunei; Japan LNG & Gas Virtual Summit (DMG)-Tokyo Three crucial by-elections in Hokkaido, Nagano & Hiroshima – April 25th |
| May | Bids close in first tender for commercial offshore wind projects in Japan;
Prime Minister Suga to visit the U.S. |
| June | Release of New Japan National Basic Energy Plan-2021;
G7 Meeting – U.K. Presidents Biden and Putin are due to meet at a summit in Geneva Forum for China-Africa Cooperation Summit (Senegal) |
| July | Tokyo Metropolitan Govt. Assembly Elections;
Commencement of 2020 Tokyo Olympics |
| August | Hydrogen Ministerial Conference in conjunction with IEA |
| September | Ruling LDP Presidential Election;
UN General Assembly Annual Meeting that is expected to address energy/climate challenges; IMF/World Bank Annual Meetings (multilateral and central banks expected to take further action on emissions disclosures and lending to fossil fuel projects); End of H1 FY2021 Fiscal Year in Japan; Japan-Russia: Eastern Economic Forum (Vladivostok)-tentative |
| October | Last possible month for holding Japan’s 2021 General Election;
METI Sponsored LNG Producer/Consumer Conference; Innovation for Cool Earth Forum – Tokyo Conference; Task Force on Climate-Related Financial Disclosure (TCFD) – Tokyo Conference; G20 Meeting-Italy |
| November | COP26 (Glasgow);
Asian Development Bank (‘ADB’) Annual Conference; Japan-Canada Energy Forum; East Asia Summit (EAS) – Brunei |
| December | Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Forum – New Zealand;
Final details expected from METI on proposed unbundling of natural gas pipeline network scheduled for 2022. |
Japan Oil Price

Crude Imports Vs Processed Crude

Monthly Oil Import Volume (Mbpd)

Monthly Crude Processed (Mbpd)

Domestic Fuel Sales

SOURCES: Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Industry (METI), Ministry of Finance, and the Petroleum Association of Japan
Japan LNG Price

LNG Imports: Japan Total vs Gas Utilities Only

Total LNG Imports (M t)

LNG Imports by Gas Firms Only (M t)

City Gas Sales – Total (M m3)

City Gas Sales by Sector (M m3)

SOURCES: Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Industry (METI),
Ministry of Finance
Japan Total Power Demand (GWh)

Current Vs Historical Demand (GWh)

Day-Ahead Spot Electricity Prices

Day-Ahead Vs Day Time Vs Peak Time

LNG Imports by Electricity Utilities

LNG Stockpiles of Electricity Utilities

SOURCES: Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Industry (METI), and the Japan Electric Power Exchange
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NEWS
・Energy Basic Policy plan publication delayed, maybe till autumn:
・Major govt. disagreements over fate of nuclear generation
・Political infighting inside ruling party spills over into energy
・Renewables supporters push back against “expensive” tag
・Ex-PM Abe-led group proposes subterranean nuclear plants
・Govt. wants Japan to top international hub for green bonds