
MAR 4, 2024
NEWS
TOP
ANALYSIS
JAPAN’S STRATEGY FOR CARBON CAPTURE AND STORAGE IN SOUTHEAST ASIA
Carbon Capture and Storage is one solution that Japan is betting big on to solve Southeast Asia’s emissions problem. While the technology is still in its infancy and has limited operational capacity globally, Japan is eager to become a frontrunner. Southeast Asian nations show abundant CO2 storage potential because of more suitable geology, but they lack the financial means to develop innovative technologies such as CCS. In this context, Japan and Southeast Asia complement each other and offer possibilities for cooperation and mutual growth in CCS.
THROUGH RENEWABLES, INDONESIA OFFERS JAPANESE FIRMS SIGNIFICANT CO2 CUTS
Indonesia is one country where Japan hopes to create an overseas carbon storage hub to sequester some of its emissions. It’s also a country where Japanese firms seek to reduce their CO2 footprint the most, via the Joint Crediting Mechanism (JCM), a scheme that offsets the costs for Japanese firms looking to introduce clean energy technologies overseas. Now that the JCM has passed the ten-year mark, Indonesia has clearly emerged as a strategic partner for Japan in its approach to carbon markets and management.
ASIA ENERGY VIEW
A wrap of top energy news that impacts other Asian countries.
EVENTS SCHEDULE
A selection of events to keep an eye on in 2024.
PUBLISHER
K. K. Yuri Group
Events
Editorial Team
Yuriy Humber (Editor-in-Chief)
John Varoli (Senior Editor, Americas)
Mayumi Watanabe (Japan)
Wilfried Goossens (Events, global)
Kyoko Fukuda (Japan)
Magdalena Osumi (Japan
Filippo Pedretti (Japan)
Tim Young (Japan)
Regular Contributors
Chisaki Watanabe (Japan)
Takehiro Masutomo (Japan)
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OFTEN-USED ACRONYMS
|
METI |
The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry |
mmbtu |
Million British Thermal Units | |
|
MoE |
Ministry of Environment |
mb/d |
Million barrels per day | |
|
ANRE |
Agency for Natural Resources and Energy |
mtoe |
Million Tons of Oil Equivalent | |
|
NEDO |
New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization |
kWh |
Kilowatt hours (electricity generation volume) | |
|
TEPCO |
Tokyo Electric Power Company |
FIT |
Feed-in Tariff | |
|
KEPCO |
Kansai Electric Power Company |
FIP |
Feed-in Premium | |
|
EPCO |
Electric Power Company |
SAF |
Sustainable Aviation Fuel | |
|
JCC |
Japan Crude Cocktail |
NPP |
Nuclear power plant | |
|
JKM |
Japan Korea Market, the Platt’s LNG benchmark |
JOGMEC |
Japan Organization for Metals and Energy Security | |
|
CCUS |
Carbon Capture, Utilization and Storage | |||
|
OCCTO |
Organization for Cross-regional Coordination of Transmission Operators | |||
|
NRA |
Nuclear Regulation Authority | |||
|
GX |
Green Transformation |

METI puts focus on “super perovskite cells” amid change of direction in PSC strategy
(Japan NRG, Feb 28)
TAKEAWAY: METI is very successful at creating new funding mechanisms and securing govt finance. But industrial strategies entirely led by METI have a less stellar track record. So, a “super PSC” strategy will hinge on the motivation and efforts of domestic players. PXP Corp and Kaneka are the main tandem PSC developers in Japan. The others, notably Aisin of Toyota group, still need to decide whether to focus on IoT devices and building applications, or to launch tandem development by forming alliances with overseas players. There’s little chance of getting automaker support for developing “not-so-super perovskites”. Another issue is whether the new financing scheme planned by METI will cover foreign companies.
EGC plans to review power retail reforms, seeking to improve trading and monitoring
(Government statement, Feb 27)
TAKEAWAY: The rally in electricity prices in the last few years put a significant number of electricity retailers out of business. According to various surveys, as many as one in six retailers either went bankrupt or decided to pull out of the market. The exits were not always managed well, and the sudden pullback led to a flurry of new customer applications to major power utilities, overwhelming their ability to process the requests. METI, under whom the EGC sits, believes it is important to improve the quality of market players in the electricity retail space and this latest review seems to be part of the process of helping the market mature.
Onagawa, Ishinomaki consider introducing tax for spent nuclear fuel on NPP premises
(Nikkei, Feb 28)
TAKEAWAY: According to METI, storage at NPPs nationwide has reached around 80% of total capacity. In theory, Japan’s plan is to send the nuclear spent fuel rods to the Rokkasho Reprocessing Plant, whose launch continues to be delayed. NPP operators need other options, the most viable being temporarily storing the fuel on a nuclear power plant’s premises. This stirs concerns among locals, who fear that the spent fuel will be kept there for a long time. As projects such as the Rokkasho plant and other mid-term storage facilities lag behind, friction between NPP operators and communities increases.
LDP lawmakers announce plans to accelerate nuclear fusion research
(Japan NRG, Feb 28)
TAKEAWAY: Aside from the ITER project, Japan has a relatively large number of startups in the fusion space claiming advanced progress in the technology. Such companies claim a pilot fusion plant could be built by the early 2030s, but there is a big funding gap between their ambitions and reality. An LDP project team is one of the ‘early-stage’ govt efforts that could lead to state funding going into private fusion projects.
Foreign investors show caution toward Japan’s new climate transition bonds
(Nikkei Asia, Feb 27)
TAKEAWAY: Climate transition bonds are a new class of bonds created by Japan to promote steps towards CO2 reduction that fall outside of the remit of traditional green bonds, which focus primarily on renewable energy. The bond category will bring financing to hard-to-abate sectors, but not only. Many will be watching these bonds to see whether these sales stimulate interest in a new sub sector of financial instruments related to decarbonization. The problem is, most funds that seek out sustainability investments are interested in ‘green’ instruments and doubt the environmental value of a ‘transition’ product.
ENEOS, Mitsubishi and Petronas ink MoU on CCS value chain between Japan and Malaysia
(Company statement, March 1)
Japan-U.S. studies on carbon capture using solid amine to be extended another year
(Japan NRG, Feb 28)
IHI to add carbon capture capability to methanation system
(Japan NRG, Feb 28)
TAKEAWAY: In Japan, carbon capture systems have spread slower than methanation tech since companies would rather buy offset credits than make capital investments. Manufacturers believe carbon capture capital and running costs need to fall to ¥1,000 / ton of carbon in order to compete effectively with offset credits. Present CC costs are over ¥3,000 / ton. Some industry members also say state subsidies are needed to spur investment into CC systems.
Kawasaki Heavy to build mid-sized liquefied hydrogen vessel
(Japan NRG, Feb 28)
TAKEAWAY: Aircraft must be lightweight, so hydrogen in a gas state is seen as more suitable than liquid hydrogen, which would require extra equipment to convert the liquid to gas on board an aircraft and maintain the liquid at -235 C before gasification. A KHI official agreed, but said his company seeks every opportunity to develop new hydrogen applications.
Idemitsu, Mitsubishi, Proman sign ammonia production agreement
(Company statement, Feb 27)
TAKEAWAY: Idemitsu’s goal is to build a 1 mln ton / year ammonia supply hub to cover demand in the Chugoku region. Demand will be sufficient if coal-fired power plants owned by local chemical companies shift to ammonia co-firing. Even by 2030, however, Chugoku region’s annual demand is unlikely to hit 1 mln tons since no company has yet announced definite ammonia co-firing plans.
MOL, Itochu, etc ink MoU on e-fuel and CO2 marine transport using green hydrogen
(Company statement, Feb 27)
Nisshin Kasei to commercialize FC system using silicon waste as feed
(Japan NRG, Feb 28)
TAKEAWAY: Manufacturers are targeting small FC systems for use in remote off-grid areas. However, the system loses power if hydrogen runs out. Nisshin Kasei is offering an on-site system that produces hydrogen and power, and easy-to-carry silicon particles as feedstock.
Honda starts online orders for CR-V, Japan’s first plug-in FCEV
(Japan NRG, Feb 28)
Tokuyama to commercialize alkaline electrolyzer in 2025
(Japan NRG, Feb 28)
TAKEAWAY: Tokuyama might possibly be the second Japanese AWE manufacturer, following Asahi Kasei. AWE’s advantage is its scalability to accommodate GW-sized electrolyzer demand that’s emerging in Australia and the Middle East.
MHI invests in Fervo Energy for geothermal tech
(Company statement, Feb 29)

TEPCO begins fourth release of treated water from Fukushima NPP, last one for FY2023
(Japan NRG, Feb 28)
January JEPX spot market trading: Record volumes after the Noto earthquake
(Denki Shimbun, Feb 28)
East Area Interconnection line modernization could cost ¥1.8 trillion
(Government statement, Feb 28)

JERA fills up ammonia tank ahead of 20% co-firing at Hekinan thermal power plant
(Japan NRG, Feb 28)
TAKEAWAY: Industries are closely watching the Hekinan test, as well as the sail of ammonia-fueled ships in about 2027, to determine whether ammonia is a transition fuel that can serve as a bridge between fossil fuels and hydrogen, or a permanent net-zero solution. The main concerns are safety, cost and NOx release, as cited by climate activists.
Manies Group and Mercuria Holdings agree to develop solar PV plants in Taiwan
(Company statement, Feb 21)

Daihen’s new grid storage battery system uses less space, reduces costs
(Company statement, Feb 26)
Toyota Motor-affiliated parts manufacturer to adopt first PowerX storage battery
(Company statement, Feb 21)
Tohoku Electric to build dry cask storage for spent fuel at Onagawa NPP
(Company statement, Feb 27)
Hitachi Energy invests over €30 mln to expand transformer operations in Germany
(Company statement, Feb 22)
JRC and Wakachiku to cooperate on Japan’s first gangway system for SEP vessels
(Company statement, Feb 21)

LNG stocks up slightly to 2.13 mln tons, but down 12.9% YoY
(Government data, Feb 28)
Saisan partners with Jibu on LP gas sales in Africa
(Nikkei, Feb 29)
January Oil/ Gas/ Coal trade statistics
(Government data, Feb 28)
|
Imports |
Volume |
YoY |
Value (Yen) |
YoY |
|
Crude oil |
11.8 million kiloliters |
-14.2% |
¥916.3 billion |
-9.2% |
|
LNG |
6.1 million tons |
-10.5% |
¥622.4 billion |
-28.7% |
|
Thermal coal |
10 million tons |
-6.8% |
¥243.2 billion |
-53.6% |


BY FILIPPO PEDRETTI
What is Japan’s Strategy for Carbon Capture and Storage in Southeast Asia?
In 2020, Southeast Asia was responsible for about 6.5% of global energy-related carbon dioxide emissions, a more than twofold increase from 2.8% in 1990. This undesirable trajectory underscores the need for rapid action to reduce the carbon footprint.
Japan hopes its multifaceted decarbonization plan, which consists of several key vectors, can help rectify this situation. Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) is one solution that Japan is betting big on to tackle the region’s emissions problem. While the CCS technology is still in its early stages and has limited operational capacity worldwide, Japan is eager to become a frontrunner in its deployment.
Last year, Japan Organization for Metals and Energy Security (JOGMEC) launched seven Advanced CCS projects, and METI proposed a CCS Business Act to regulate it. The Act has swiftly moved forward to gain Cabinet approval. However, Japan’s CCS strategy is limited by the country’s geography, lacking suitable sites for large-scale CO2 storage capacity due to the frequency of earthquakes across the country and little history of hydrocarbon exploration.
On the other hand, the rapidly emerging economies in Southeast Asia show abundant CO2 storage potential because of their more suitable geology and ample used oil and gas wells. However, they lack the financial and engineering capacity to develop nascent technologies such as CCS.
In this context, Japan and Southeast Asia complement each other and offer ample possibilities for cooperation and mutual growth in the CCS sector.
CCS in Thailand and Malaysia
In early January, Thailand’s state-owned PTT Exploration and Production (PTTEP) announced a study on the carbon storage potential of Thailand’s Northern Gulf. Such a study will be carried out jointly with INPEX and can count on the support of Thailand’s Department of Mineral Fuels (DMF) and JOGMEC.
The project’s goal is to gather geological data on the area’s potential storage capacity. If the results are positive, then a CCS hub will be promoted in the Eastern Economic Corridor (EEC), a special zone covering about 13,000 square km that comprises three Thai provinces. PTTEP has been in charge of the relevant feasibility study.
PTTEP’s goal is to use CCS technology and the region’s storage potential for reducing CO2 emissions from their sites in Rayong and Chonburi provinces, where the feasibility study is in progress. The provinces are home to several industrial clusters.
The clusters contain traditionally heavily polluting industries. They include four power plants by Global Power Synergy (GPSC); three petrochemical, refinery and power plants run by IRPC, PTT Group’s chemical flagship operation GC and Thaioil; as well as a gas separation plant operated by PTT. The idea is to capture CO2 from these facilities and collect it in a central terminal (the CCS Hub).
From there, the CO2 would be transported through a pipeline to a PTTEP CO2 storage site, to be located offshore in the gulf. The company aims to start the CCS Hub operations in 2033, with a storage capacity of 6 Mtpa.

Source: NANOTEC, NSTDA
In February, Mitsui also inked an MoU with Chugoku Electric to study the potential for a CCS value chain around a storage site in offshore Malaysia.
The project envisages the separation, capture, liquefaction, and temporary storage of CO2 from a Chugoku Electric coal-fired thermal power plant. Then, the CO2 in liquefied form would be transported to Malaysia for permanent storage. Floating offshore temporary storage facilities would also be utilized.
In addition, in June 2023, TotalEnergies and Malay Petronas began developing a site for underground CO2 sequestration in Peninsular Malaysia, planning for CO2 storage by 2030. The Malay region has already been involved in several oil and gas exploration activities and is geographically closer to Japan. Thus, JOGMEC sees the area as having high storage potential once the necessary logistics and port facilities are established.
JOGMEC’s exploration and screening
Last year, JOGMEC’s overseas exploration team released an initial regional site screening for CCS storage in Southeast Asia. They evaluated factors such as plate tectonics, formation rock pressure, and temperature, and analyzed the reservoir resources of a dozen sedimentary basins.
Based on the presence of reservoir rocks and seals, reservoir depth and tectonic movements, five areas were selected, including the Gulf of Thailand and Offshore Malay Peninsula.
High-rating potential CO2 storage sites selected by JOGMEC
|
Indonesia |
Java, Sumatra |
|
Thailand |
Gulf of Thailand |
|
Vietnam |
Northern offshore region |
|
Malaysia |
Offshore Malay Peninsula |
|
Malaysia |
Offshore Sarawak and Sabah |
Source: JOGMEC
CO2 storage potential in the Gulf of Thailand and Offshore Malay Peninsula.


Source: JOGMEC
The areas in the Gulf of Thailand possess other traits making it suitable, according to JOGMEC. One is the presence of oil and gas fields, which can utilize injections of CO2 to boost output or, once depleted, provide large, well-explored caverns that are suitable for carbon storage.
Indeed, PTTEP has some experience with CCS thanks to its initiative at the Arthit gas field. In a first such project in Thailand, PTTET captures CO2 from gas reservoirs using membrane-based gas separation technology, and then, after compression, transports it to the injection platform, where it’s stored in saline aquifers and depleted reservoirs, at a depth of 1 to 2 km.
Arthit upstream CCS project operations are scheduled to start in 2027. According to the company’s expectation, the project will help to annually reduce up to 1 million tons of CO2 in atmospheric emissions.
Global and national regulations
When it comes to cross-border CO2 transportation, there are certain challenges for both the customer and receiving countries. The former face the high costs of capture, liquefaction, and transportation of CO2. The latter need strong regulatory frameworks that clarify long-term liabilities, port access, as well licensing and contracting for storage.
Currently, The London Protocol is the global agreement that specifically deals with CO2 cross-border transportation and storage. CO2 is considered as “waste”, and its subsea storage is regarded as “dumping”. However, storage from capturing processes is exempted from the dumping prohibition.
As for Thailand and Malaysia, neither have specific CCS regulation at the national level. The state of Sarawak has rules that cover CC for its local jurisdiction, but Malaysia more broadly seeks to develop three CCUS hubs in its National Transition Roadmap. Meanwhile, the Thai government has set a target of collecting up to 40 Mtpa of CO2 annually by 2050, and 60 Mtpa by 2065.
The proposed CCS Business Act in Japan, (which has received Cabinet approval but is now due to be discussed in the House of Representatives in the coming weeks), does not deal in detail with CO2 shipment abroad. It also does not touch on the issue of the vessels used for its transport even though JOGMEC has already said that it will support Japanese companies in acquiring CO2 storage concessions overseas.
So, what regulations will the Japanese firms use? One document that is likely to serve as the basis for cross-border CO2 transport is the guideline for GHG inventories set out by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
Let’s consider a case of CO2 captured in Country A and stored in another, Country B.
Country A must report captured amounts, emissions from transport, and exported CO2. Country B reports imported CO2 and emissions from injection and storage sites. In case of leakage in Country B, Country A should handle the reporting of emissions it anticipates. This implies bilateral arrangements between countries for monitoring and mitigation. In case of many countries sharing a storage site, reporting responsibilities are based on storage site location.
Furthermore, as per Japan’s proposed CCS bill, operator liability is a sensitive topic. Who should bear responsibility for any accident during the storage phase, both for intentional and unintentional damages, is hotly debated. Government officials claim there has to be a sensible division of liabilities, but that is too vague for project operators to move ahead. After all, CCS operators will need insurance coverage for their infrastructure and final CO2 storage sites, and the uncertainties translate into extra costs on top of the already significant expected outlays.
Particularly on the issue of subsea CCS regulations, MoE and METI have been locked in talks for weeks. Some argue that a CCS project’s overall carbon impact on the marine environment must be assessed, which would widen the scope of liabilities beyond CO2 leakage.
Providing economic viability to the CCS value chain requires policies such as grants, tax credits and low interest loans. Especially for customer countries, strong government incentives are needed in order to profit from a CCS project.
The storage phase alone may be possible for $40/ ton of CO2. But, on top of this comes the costs of capture, liquefaction and transport. Since carbon markets are still developing, there are concerns that the various costs of CCS will require significant government support, which will lead to higher taxes and energy prices.
On the positive front, a stable CCS ecosystem would also benefit the hydrogen industry, of which Japan is a strong advocate. It will broaden opportunities to capture and store CO2 from hydrogen production (the so-called ‘blue hydrogen’ made from natural gas), and open the door to creating synthetic fuels based on the combination of clean hydrogen and CO2.
Despite the many challenges, there does exist a vision around which potential CO2-exporter Japan and CO2-receiving countries could rally. As the two sides sit down to work through the details of regulation, liabilities, financing and operations, Southeast Asian nations will get a chance to decide over how much – and for how much – they are willing to commit.
BY JAPAN NRG TEAM
Through Renewables Indonesia Offers Japanese Firms Significant CO2 Cuts
Indonesia is one of the countries where Japan hopes to create an overseas carbon storage hub to sequester some of its emissions. Yet it’s also the country where Japanese firms have committed to reducing their CO2 footprint the most, via a specialist bilateral carbon credits mechanism.
Interestingly, both countries launched national carbon trading markets in the fall of 2023, and data indicates that the cost of carbon reduction is considerably lower in Indonesia. This opens a pathway for Japanese companies with overseas assets, especially in manufacturing, an option to bring down their CO2 footprint for less while “greening” their supply chain.
Last month, the Ministry of the Environment in Tokyo published the latest allocation of funding support via the Joint Crediting Mechanism (JCM), a scheme that offsets the costs for Japanese firms looking to introduce clean energy technologies overseas.
In return for funding projects in one of the 29 nations where Tokyo has a JCM agreement, Japan is able to claim around half of the CO2 reduction as its own. At the end of February, Ukraine became the 29th country to join the Joint Crediting Mechanism, the second European country to do so.
Some recently selected projects are in Chile, Sri Lanka and the Philippines, covering the installation of a solar farm, a hydropower plant and a battery storage unit. But the standout JCM project of fiscal year 2023 so far is a 55 MW geothermal power generator that will be built by Tokyo-based JFE Engineering in West Java. That facility alone is expected to deliver almost 10% of the annual CO2 reduction total of all JCM projects to date.
Source: MoE
So far, in the greater scheme of decarbonization the role of the JCM program has been small. Yet the size of projects that it is funding is starting to increase. Now that the JCM has passed the ten-year mark, Indonesia has clearly emerged as a strategic partner for Japan in its approach to carbon markets and management.
JCM background
JCM projects provide developing countries with low-carbon technologies, products, services, and infrastructure. Japan, through the JCM Financial Assistance Program, helps subsidize the cost of installing equipment and software for renewables and energy conservation and then measures and certifies the reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. Via this scheme, the Japanese government claims a portion of the credits representing CO2 cuts to meet Japan’s own GHG reduction targets. The bilateral nature of the credit exchange is in accordance with international climate agreements and backed by Article 6 of the Paris Agreement.
Since the system launched in 2013, a total of 240 JCM-funded projects have been adopted across Asia, Latin America and the Middle East, but the ASEAN countries are leaders. For example, Indonesia and Thailand alone account for nearly half the total number of JCM projects.
As for the allocation and distribution of emission reductions, Japan earns at least one-half of the credits generated by a JCM project. The rest of the allocation is spread among the partner country, Japanese companies, and partner country companies based on each party’s contribution.
So far in FY2023, which ends on March 31, only 15 new projects have been selected for the JCM. While that’s a lot less than the 38 selected last fiscal year, the average annual emission reduction forecast per project is close to 30,000 tons of CO2, almost double the previous year’s total, according to Japan NRG calculations.
That scaling trend will need to continue if the MoE is to meet its goal of securing about 20 million tons of CO2 in annual reductions by FY2030. After 11 years in operation, the 240 projects selected to date only offer annual cuts of 2.84 million tons of CO2 in total.
Indonesia in the lead
Of all the countries in the JCM mechanism, Japanese firms have found especially favorable conditions in Indonesia, which is home to 52 JCM projects. Thailand comes in a close second with 51, but even then, the size of CO2 reductions in Indonesia tends to be larger.
In terms of individual project size, Indonesia also provides the biggest CO2 cuts, trailing only Saudi Arabia in this category. In that Middle Eastern country, Marubeni Corp has a 400 MW Solar power farm that will have an estimated 475,000 tons of CO2 reduction each year.

In Indonesia, state-owned PT Geo Dipa Energi’s Patuha Unit 2 (55 MW) geothermal power project will have an estimated 274,000-ton reduction each year. At the moment, the year of commissioning has not been stated. The Japan Fund Joint Crediting Mechanism (JFJCM) provided an investment grant for the equipment that will reduce emissions. JFE Engineering is leading in the design and construction of the plant.
JFE has said it sees more opportunities in geothermal in Indonesia, which is keen to tap more of this renewable energy source. That bodes well for coining future JCM credits.
However, there are opportunities across the broader energy sector in Indonesia. In 2014, the JCM’s second year, JFE Engineering built a power plant (waste-heat recovery generator at a cement factory) that offers annual CO2 reductions of about 149,000 tons.
The JCM is helping NiX Group to build the $14 million Tongar mini hydro power plant in West Sumatra. The 6.2 MW capacity facility is expected to generate annual sales of $2.5 million. This is the first overseas hydroelectric power project that the NiX Group has undertaken, and is a rare case in which a Japanese company built its own hydro power plant in Indonesia as a majority shareholder.
Also, AURA Green Energy utilized JCM funding to build its 12 MW biomass power plant in Aceh Province of Indonesia. The facility was commissioned last year.
Indonesia carbon market launches
While the JCM scheme is separate from the J-credits that started trading on the Tokyo Stock Exchange last year, the Japanese government is keen to expand the scope of carbon trading. Officials have signaled that other carbon credits may be allowed to trade in Tokyo in the future.
That could be a future business opportunity for Japanese firms active in the JCM scheme in Southeast Asia. Just as Tokyo welcomed the start of nationwide carbon trading last fall, on September 26, Indonesia launched a carbon market of its own (IDXCarbon). On the first day, credits representing a reduction of 459,000 tons of CO2 were traded. At that volume, the entire CO2 reduction of JCM could exchange hands within a week.
The evolution of carbon markets and their potential future interoperability should open the door to arbitrage opportunities. According to local media, the Indonesian trading price per ton of emission reductions on September 26 was 77,000 rupiah (about ¥733). This is four times cheaper than the cost of a 1-ton carbon credit linked to renewable energy introduction that trades in Tokyo.
Should regulations and carbon accounting rules allow it, Japanese manufacturers could be offshoring not only their factories but also decarbonization efforts in the future.
BY JOHN VAROLI
This weekly column focuses on energy events in Asia and the Pacific, and all that impact markets in the region.
Asia / Grid expansion
Asia will be at the forefront of grid expansion, with China accounting for nearly 30% of the predicted global grid investments of about $374 billion in 2024. According to Rystad Energy, by 2030 the world will need $3.1 trillion in grid infrastructure investment to support the energy transition and limit global warming to 1.8 C.
China / Coal power
In 2023, China accelerated coal permitting, approving 106 GW of coal power projects and began construction of 70 GW, possibly derailing the country’s climate targets for 2025. Global Energy Monitor said that in 2023 China also began operations of 47 GW of coal projects, and announced 108 GW more.
China / Solar power
In 2023, China boosted global shipments of solar modules by over a third from its 2022 total, according to Ember. In 2023, total Chinese exports, which account for about 80% of global solar exports, totalled about 220 GW of generation capacity, up by 55 GW from 2022.
India / Coal imports
This year, thermal coal imports are expected to fall for the first time since 2020 due to increasing domestic output and record high inventories. Experts predict that thermal coal imports could fall as much as 6%. In 2023, India imported 176 mln tons of thermal coal, driven mainly by demand from power plants.
India / Electricity
In 2023, electricity demand rose 7% over 2022’s figure of 149.7 TWh. The increase was due to greater consumer and industrial usage, said a report by the International Energy Agency.
Indonesia / Critical raw materials
Indonesia says its nickel production will be more than sufficient to meet demand and keep global prices low; the price of the EV battery metal will stay below $18,000 a ton, reported Bloomberg. Recent sharp drops in nickel prices have hit producers across the globe.
LNG demand
In 2024, global LNG demand will rise, with top buyer China leading the way, and EU consumption rising, said a TotalEnergies official. Last week, Asia spot LNG prices hit their lowest levels in nearly three years due to weak demand in Asia and Europe.
Qatar / Natural gas
Qatar will increase natural gas production despite a recent drop in global prices. The country is betting on rising demand in Europe and Asia. QatarEnergy chief Saad al-Kaabi said a new expansion of its LNG production will add 16 mtpa to its plans, bringing the total to 142 mtpa.
Southeast Asia / Renewable energy
While the region’s renewable energy capacity develops slowly, “renewable energy certificates” (RECs) are growing rapidly. From 2019 to 2023, solar and wind REC issuances in Southeast Asia rose almost 13-fold, according to data from international registries.
Vietnam / Wind power
Electric Wind Power, a subsidiary of Shanghai Electric, inked a deal to provide wind turbines to Hai Anh Wind Power for its wind farm in Quang Tri Province. The project will cover 855 ha, with a 40 MW capacity, and operate Electric Wind Power’s WH5.25-172 wind turbine unit, to date the largest onshore wind turbine diameter in Vietnam.
A selection of domestic and international events we believe will have an impact on Japanese energy
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NEWS
・METI puts focus on “super perovskite cells” amid change of direction in national next-gen solar strategy
・EGC plans to re-examine power liberalization, seeks to improve monitoring and trading; also, new study around data centers
・TEPCO begins fourth treated water release from Fukushima NPP site, last one for FY2023