
SEPTEMBER 30, 2024
NEWS
TOP
ANALYSIS
NATURAL GAS INDUSTRY BETS ON A REBOUND AS POWER DEMAND RISES ON DATA CENTER BOOM
After a tumultuous five years marked by calls to bury the natural gas industry amid efforts to decarbonize, along with wild price volatility, corporate leaders now believe in long-term prosperity owing to a forecasted rise in global energy demand ignited by the expansion of energy-hungry data centers and AI technologies. Leading gas companies say the next five years will see a supply boom that should keep prices affordable, opening new markets that hitherto relied on cheaper coal power. This trend will impact Japan, which still relies on burning gas for over a third of its electricity.
DELAYS AT ROKKASHO NUCLEAR FUEL PLANT HINDER JAPAN’S ENERGY GOALS
Nuclear power plants face the disposal and long-term storage of their fuel, becoming nuclear waste. Construction of the Rokkasho nuclear fuel reprocessing plant in Aomori Pref on the Pacific coast is central to Japan’s nuclear fuel cycle policy. If completed it will be the nation’s main facility processing nuclear waste disposal. Yet, last month the project faced its 27th construction delay in nearly three decades, and completion is now postponed to 2026. Japan is still unable to sufficiently resolve this issue, and a solution is needed that satisfies a myriad of stakeholders.
ASIA ENERGY VIEW
A wrap of top energy news that impacts other Asian countries.
EVENTS SCHEDULE
A selection of events to keep an eye on in 2024.
PUBLISHER
K. K. Yuri Group
Editorial Team
Yuriy Humber (Editor-in-Chief)
John Varoli (Senior Editor, Americas)
Mayumi Watanabe (Japan)
Kyoko Fukuda (Japan)
Magdalena Osumi (Japan
Filippo Pedretti (Japan)
Tim Young (Japan)
Regular Contributors
Chisaki Watanabe (Japan)
Takehiro Masutomo (Japan)
Events
SUBSCRIPTIONS & ADVERTISING
Japan NRG offers individual, corporate and academic subscription plans. Basic details are our website or write to subscriptions@japan-nrg.com
For marketing, advertising, or collaboration opportunities, contact sales@japan-nrg.com For all other inquiries, write to info@japan-nrg.com
OFTEN-USED ACRONYMS
| METI | The Ministry of Economy,
Trade and Industry | mmbtu | Million British Thermal Units | |
| MoE | Ministry of Environment | mb/d | Million barrels per day | |
| ANRE | Agency for Natural Resources and Energy | mtoe | Million Tons of Oil Equivalent | |
| NEDO | New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization | kWh | Kilowatt hours (electricity generation volume) | |
| TEPCO | Tokyo Electric Power Company | FIT | Feed-in Tariff | |
| KEPCO | Kansai Electric Power Company | FIP | Feed-in Premium | |
| EPCO | Electric Power Company | SAF | Sustainable Aviation Fuel | |
| JCC | Japan Crude Cocktail | NPP | Nuclear power plant | |
| JKM | Japan Korea Market, the Platt’s LNG benchmark | JOGMEC | Japan Organization for Metals and Energy Security | |
| CCUS | Carbon Capture, Utilization and Storage | |||
| OCCTO | Organization for Cross-regional Coordination of Transmission Operators | |||
| NRA | Nuclear Regulation Authority | |||
| GX | Green Transformation |

Ishiba Shigeru, lone anti-nuclear voice wins LDP leadership race, set to become next PM
(Government statement, Sept 27)
TAKEAWAY: Ishiba is labeled as both a progressive and a hawk, a reformer and a conservative. For some, even in government, his comments are hard to pin down; he was perhaps the least predictable of all the candidates that ran in the LDP election. In the past, Ishiba has advocated for Japan to avoid being too reliant on the U.S. alliance, preferring a quieter international voice and a position in between that of the U.S. and China. How this will play out in practice is anyone’s guess. But in the energy arena, his first test may come with the restart of TEPCO’s Kashiwazaki-Kariwa NPP. Outgoing PM Kishida expended considerable effort in his last few weeks in office to move the restart forward. Whether Ishiba feels the need to follow, or push the issue to the side and focus on the next Basic Energy Plan, will give us some idea on what kind of direction he wants in the energy space.
Japan-U.S. energy event calls for coordinated clean energy action to decarbonize
(Government statement, Sept 25)
TAKEAWAY: METI’s discussions with major U.S. power users such as Microsoft, which have made commitments to use 100% CO2-free electricity globally by 2030, reveals several things. First, big U.S. technology firms are worried about their ability to secure enough CO2-free electricity in Japan to meet their commitments locally. Recently, Google said that only about a third of its electricity in Japanese data centers meets the firm’s decarbonization goals. Second, U.S. tech firms are now more open to other CO2-free electricity options outside of solar, wind and battery power sources. In the U.S., the tech sector has grown increasingly interested in nuclear power. In Japan, the potential to use electricity from NPPs remains a possibility — if more of the current facilities are restarted.
Hydrogen sector sees $75 billion commitment to growth amid rapid rise in investment
(Japan NRG, Sept 18)
EGC official sees “room for improvement” in fuel cost adjustment cap
(Denki Shimbun, Sept 20)
ANRE to revise criteria for power reserve measures
(Denki Shimbun, Sept 27)
Calls for regulation as surge in copper thefts disrupts solar farms
(Denki Shimbun, Sept 19)
TAKEAWAY: Japan NRG covered this problem in the Oct 16, 2023, issue, and then the police were trying to increase awareness of the crimes. A continued surge in copper prices (nearing $10,000/ ton earlier this year) and other base metals has only fanned the flames. The challenge with creating additional regulation, however, is that it inevitably increases industry costs, while thieves could just as easily sell their stock to pawn shops. Also, making life more complicated for scrap metal collectors will hurt efforts to usher in a more circular economy and improve recycling rates.
Sekisui, TEPCO awarded Green Innovation funding for PSC studies
(Government statement, Sept 20)
Chugoku Electric, etc study large-scale use of negative emission BECCS tech
(Company statement, Sept 25)
Hitachi Zosen reports cheating on NOx emission data of ship engines
(Company statement, Sept 17)
MOL consortium obtains AiP of liquefied hydrogen transport vessel
(Company statement, Sept 19)
JX invests in Calcite Carbon Removal’s DAC project
(Company statement, Sept 18)
JGC’s Brown Reverse inks MoU to reduce ammonia production emissions
(Company statement, Sept 13)
Osaki CoolGen launches testing IGCC mixed biomass gasification
(Company statement, Sept 25)

ENEOS Renewable Energy to join floating offshore wind in Norway, takes 20% stake
(Company statement, Sept 18)

TAKEAWAY: With the push for offshore wind power, Japan has fostered a competitive environment for firms. Cooperation with European firms, which are far more advanced, is indispensable for Japan to introduce floating wind tech at home. The Norwegian project offers a great opportunity for ERE to gain experience with its delayed Goto project. Still, to successfully introduce floating offshore wind power in Japan, more adjustments within organizations involved in such projects, and coordination between them, will be needed.
METI designates three more areas as ‘preparation zones’ for offshore wind power
(Government statement, Sept 27)
MoE sends METI its position on Eurus Energy’s 550 MW wind farm
(Government statement, Sept 13)
Eurus Energy seeks to boost wind power efficiency with riblet film for turbine blades
(Company statement, Sept 24)

ANRE, OCCTO to create new market to trade and balance power supply
(Government statement, Sept 25)
EEX posts record daily trading volume in Japan electricity futures
(Japan NRG, Sept 26)
Kansai area received power from six regions amid robust demand on high temperatures
(Company statement, Sept 18)
TAKEAWAY: The number of power transfers between regions has risen due to the volatility in weather, extreme heat, and further intermittency in the power sources. The main issue, however, is that the number of times a regional grid operator can request help is limited to about 12 times a year. The Tokyo area TSO has already requested help 10 times this year, which is a worrying sign as we head towards the peak demand period in winter.
ORIX’s subsidiary Elawan to supply renewable power to Google under PPA
(Company statement, Sept 19)
IEA’s Tanaka Nobuo talks future of Japan’s nuclear industry, sees hope for SMRs
(Japan NRG, Sept 20)
TEPCO sends spent fuel from Kashiwazaki-Kariwa NPP to Mutsu facility
(Nikkei, Sept 24)
TAKEAWAY: The fuel will be stored at the Mutsu facility for up to 50 years under local agreements. Yet, concerns remain about long-term handling. Rokkasho is meant to handle spent fuel, but it has yet to be completed due to regulatory delays, raising fears about the potential for indefinite storage at Mutsu.
MHI to hire 200 employees for its nuclear division in FY2025
(Nikkei, Sept 18)
TAKEAWAY: Japan’s aging workforce is, in general, a problem; but the nuclear industry faces additional issues. The number of nuclear engineering students has declined since the Fukushima accident. Also, a large part of the industry’s employees have been working in non-operating facilities since the shutdown of all NPPs in the early 2010s.
Emergency system at Onagawa NPP activated amid preparations for inspections
(Company statement, Sept 19)
Chugoku Electric to lower power prices for businesses after NPP restart
(Company statement, Sept 27)
JNFL execs to return part of salaries for delays in Rokkasho completion
(Company statement, Sept 19)
Keiyo Gas makes first overseas investment with renewables fund for N America
(Nikkei, Sept 25)
NTT to enter power transmission and delivery with new grid-control system
(Nikkei, Sept 19)

Mitsubishi Corp to expand Malaysian LNG projects, boosting stake in liquefaction plant
(Nikkei, Sept 27)
Shizuoka Gas to set up subsidiary in India for biogas generation
(Company statement, Sept 25)
LNG stock down 12.3% from previous week; at same level as a year ago
(Government data, Sep 25)
August Oil/ Gas/ Coal Trade Statistics
(Government data, Sep 18)
| Imports | Volume | YoY | Value (Yen) | YoY |
| Crude oil | 11.5 million kiloliters (72.2 million barrels) | -15.2% | 946.6 billion | -4.9% |
| LNG | 5.7 million tons | 1% | 542.5 billion | 8.3% |
| Thermal coal | 9.3 million tons | 10.3% | 215.0 billion | -7.2% |
BY JOHN VAROLI
Natural Gas Sector Bets on a Rebound as Power Demand Rises on
Data Center Boom
After a tumultuous five years marked by calls to bury the natural gas industry amid efforts to decarbonize the sector, along with wild price volatility that saw historic lows in 2020, record highs in 2022 and a plunge again this year, corporate leaders now see the potential for long-term prosperity.
This new confidence is driven by a forecasted rise in global energy demand ignited by the rapid expansion of energy-hungry data centers and AI technologies. The next five years will see a natural gas supply boom that should keep prices affordable for developing countries, thereby opening new markets that hitherto relied on cheaper coal power.
What a difference a year makes. In November 2023, the United Nations’ COP28 climate summit loudly announced what activists called the “beginning of the end of the fossil fuel era.” However, the natural gas industry’s buoyant future can easily be discerned in the more than 1,000 orders to build LNG maritime transport vessels.
The recent Gastech conference in Houston, held from September 17-20, radiated this optimism. Industry leaders reaffirmed the role of natural gas in the global energy mix, with a clear focus on expanding market share, particularly at coal’s expense.
However, the sector is not resistant to change. Many gas companies are exploring hydrogen and other alternative energy options to lower their carbon footprint.
All these developments will have a significant impact on Japan, the world’s second LNG buyer after China, and a nation that still relies on burning gas for over a third of its electricity.
Asia propels rising LNG demand
The natural gas industry believes it can bridge the so-called ‘energy gap’ until renewables becomes the global baseload energy source by 2050.
Despite progress in building renewables capacity over the past two decades, fossil fuels – coal, oil, and gas – still supply nearly 80% of global energy, with coal alone contributing 35% of the total. Renewable energy accounts for only 12%.
With renewables lagging in many parts of the world, including Japan, where large offshore wind farms are expected to commence operations only at the end of this decade, natural gas demand is expected to double over the next decade, peaking in the early 2040s.
According to the International Energy Agency, by 2026, global power demand from data centers could double, as AI technology takes off. For example, BlackRock is planning a $30 billion AI investment fund with Microsoft, focusing on data centers and energy projects.
Shell’s LNG Outlook 2024 forecasts LNG demand reaching 685 million tons per annum by 2040, with Asia – especially China and India – driving much of the growth. The U.S. and Qatar are poised to supply a significant portion of this gas, with over 200 million tons of new export capacity expected to come online globally by 2030.
China, already the world’s largest LNG importer, is expected to continue its annual import growth of 13%, surpassing purchases of 85 million tons annually by 2024. And India is aggressively increasing LNG imports to replace coal, with projections of 67 million tons by 2030, nearly triple its 23 million tons in FY2022.
In the past two years, Japan has slid from the top spot to the No 2 position, and its total LNG imports are expected to slowly decline over the next decade as the country boosts offshore wind, solar and nuclear capacity. In 2023, Japan imported about 65 million tons of LNG, down from about 72 million in 2022, and 88.5 million in 2014.
In spring, JERA’s new CEO Kani Yukio went on record saying that Japan’s import volumes “may decline or may stay the same”, and that “Japan may not need LNG for 20 years … but other Asian countries need to replace coal with something and LNG will play an important role.” JERA, which is Japan’s largest power company and largest natural gas buyer, hopes to continue to play a key role in supplying fuel to neighboring countries.
At Gastech, Kani emphasized energy security while transitioning to cleaner energy. During the Houston conference, JERA inked a 10-year contract with Woodside Energy of Australia to deliver 600,000 tons of LNG per annum starting in April 2026. Earlier this year, JERA took a 15% stake in Woodside’s Scarborough project off Western Australia.
Meanwhile European LNG imports from the U.S. held strong in early 2024. However, selling LNG in the EU now faces more stringent regulations on methane emissions, requiring rigorous monitoring to track leakage across supply chains. The natural gas industry counters by claiming that its methane emissions only account for about 5% of the global total. (The oil industry and agriculture sector emit more methane than the natural gas industry)
Infrastructure investments and challenges
In the coming years substantial investments are anticipated in LNG liquefaction plants, regasification terminals, and transportation infrastructure. Innovations in LNG production, transport, and use are expected to drive efficiency improvements and open new markets.
An estimated $55 billion is expected to be invested in new LNG supply globally in 2024 and 2025 only, but price and supply volatility raise concerns about the viability of natural gas as a primary energy source for developing countries, which presently prefer to stick with coal.
Emerging markets in South Asia, Southeast Asia, and Africa are developing LNG import infrastructures, with countries like Bangladesh and Pakistan seeking to enter the market.
While the U.S. and Canada won’t build more gas-fired power generation capacity, they’re eager to export LNG. By 2030, North America’s total LNG exports could double, accounting for 30% of global demand. The U.S. has cemented its spot as the world’s top LNG exporter, with Q1 2024 figures indicating that the total this year might exceed 90 million tons.
By 2030, Shell plans to invest up to $13 billion in gas and its upstream, and the firm plans to boost LNG sales 20-30% by expanding its presence in Canada and Mexico to export LNG to Asia. One key project is the $30 billion LNG Canada facility in Kitimat, British Columbia that’s backed by a consortium that includes Shell (40%), Petronas (25%), Mitsubishi (15%), PetroChina (15%), and Korea Gas Corp (5%). This plant is the first on Canada’s West Coast, and the first cargo might ship in mid 2025.
In the Middle East, Qatar’s North Field expansion is progressing, with new production expected to come online by early 2025. African LNG exports from Mozambique and Senegal are also in the works. In South America, Mexico and Argentina are developing natural gas infrastructure and LNG export capacity.
In Asia, Mitsubishi Corp plans to boost its involvement in Malaysian LNG projects by nearly 60% in terms of production capacity, and by late FY2024 the trading house will acquire a 10% stake in a gas liquefaction plant in the state of Sarawak that’s operated by Petronas.
Mitsubishi also holds a 10% stake in another LNG project in Sarawak and plans to extend this contract in FY2025. It might invest several hundred billion yen, raising its annual LNG production capacity in Malaysia from 1.4 million tons to 2.2 million tons.
With all these new projects expected to come online in the next few years, experts are forecasting a glut of natural gas by 2027, which is why there is an urgency to open new markets across Asia, Africa and Latin America to absorb this growing supply.
Political and environmental considerations
As the natural gas sector bets on a new era of growth, it faces challenges related to environmental concerns and politics. Methane emissions remain a point of contention, though the industry argues that displacing coal with natural gas could reduce global emissions by 25%. However, this claim isn’t swaying many governments in North America and Europe.
In the U.S., the LNG market has been caught in the domestic political crossfire of this election year. In January, the Biden administration paused new LNG export approvals, creating uncertainty for major projects like Calcasieu Pass 2 and Commonwealth LNG.
At Gastech, Chevron CEO Mike Wirth criticized the White House, arguing that the LNG export pause hampers the transition from coal to natural gas, leading to higher energy costs and more emissions. Despite a federal court overturning the LNG moratorium in July, no new permits have been issued.
At the Asia Pacific Petroleum Conference in Singapore in early September, officials from Taiwan’s CPC Corp and Germany’s SEFE spoke of the importance of reliable LNG suppliers. CPC’s vice president, Jane Liao, stated her preference for traditional suppliers, citing long-standing relationships to guarantee supply reliability.
This sentiment reflects a broader trend among many Asian LNG buyers. With the U.S. export pause creating uncertainty, many are looking at diversifying their supply to enhance security. Though the U.S. is the top LNG exporter, buyers increasingly have more options.
With more and more sources of supply coming online by the end of the decade, and developing economies eager to initiate and/or expand their purchases of LNG, the industry is going to become a truly global market.
What does this mean for Japan? While Japanese utilities look at ways to shift away from fossil fuel generation by 2050, this still leaves a 25-year horizon. Also, major companies such as JERA see a role for them in the global market, for example, by trading LNG to countries ranging from Southeast Asia to India.
BY FILIPPO PEDRETTI
Delays at Rokkasho Nuclear Fuel Reprocessing Plant
Hinder Japan’s Energy Goals
The future and long-term success of Japan’s nuclear power industry hinges not only on developing cutting edge, next-generation technology, but also on events taking place in a small fishing village in northeast Japan.
Construction of the Rokkasho nuclear fuel reprocessing plant in Aomori Prefecture on the Pacific Ocean coast is central to Japan’s nuclear fuel cycle policy. If construction is ever completed it will be the nation’s main facility processing nuclear waste disposal.
Work on the facility was launched in 1993 and it should have been completed in 1997. Yet, last month the project faced its 27th construction delay, and the operator, Japan Nuclear Fuel Ltd, said the plant’s completion will be postponed to 2026. Another two and a half years are needed to address issues related to Nuclear Regulation Authority regulatory reviews.
For decades, nuclear power energy was a strategic priority in Japan. The country’s first nuclear power plant launched in 1966, and by March 2011, nuclear power accounted for about 30% of Japan’s electricity production, with plans to boost that to 40%. The Fukushima disaster, of course, changed all that. For ten or so years since, the sector languished but power shortages and a desire to add cheaper, CO2-free generation to the grid has brought nuclear back into public favor. Whether it can stay there will depend on what happens when nuclear fuel is spent.
Unlike coal-fired and natural gas-fired power plants, nuclear power plants face the disposal and long-term storage of their fuel – which becomes nuclear waste. Japan is still unable to sufficiently resolve this issue, and until a solution is found that satisfies all stakeholders.
Japan NRG takes a closer look at the challenges and what solutions are possible for the disposal, storage and processing of spent nuclear fuel.
Fukushima’s impact on Japan’s reprocessing plants
As a country with scant domestic supplies of natural energy resources, for decades Japan has had to rely heavily on imports for energy; currently, nearly 95% of Japan’s energy is imported. Therefore, securing a stable energy supply has long been a central facet of Japan’s industrial policy, and nuclear power was expected to fulfill those needs.
Since Japan imports all the uranium for its nuclear power fleet, reprocessing and reusing its spent nuclear fuel is considered a desired outcome. Towards that goal, since the early 1990s, Japan has worked on building a facility to reprocess spent nuclear fuel for further use.
The Rokkasho Reprocessing Plant, located in the village of the same name, is slated to play a central role in Japan’s nuclear fuel management plans. But constant delays over the past three decades have plagued the industry, and today, realization of the nuclear fuel cycle seems as distant as ever. In the meantime, nuclear waste accumulates on-site at the nation’s NPPs.
The delays appear to stem from extended NRA screenings and internal communication issues within JNFL. In some cases, JNFL failed to share information or make necessary changes to approved plans.
Also, post-Fukushima, regulations became much stricter, increasing the necessary safety upgrades and costs. The project’s management involves many parties who assist with technical matters required by the NRA. The coordination of all this only added to the Rokkasho’s complexity.
Early successes
Until not so long ago Japan had a working reprocessing plant. In 1981, after ten years of construction, a MOX fuel processing facility opened 120 km northeast of Tokyo – in Tokai Village, Ibaraki Prefecture. But it went idle in 2006 after commercial contracts for fuel reprocessing dried up. During the years of its operation the plant reprocessed 1,140 tons of spent nuclear fuel.
The Tokai reprocessing plant was decommissioned due to the high costs of modifications required by the new regulations post-Fukushima. As the rules for the nuclear business became more stringent, once again, costs rose.

Tokai Reprocessing Plant. Source: JAEA
Without the Tokai facility, Japanese utilities have had to send spent nuclear fuel to the UK and France for reprocessing. Today, the use of recycled fuel, mostly from France, is limited to a few plants in Japan, especially for Kansai Electric (KEPCO). Currently, MOX fuel is in use at KEPCO’s Takahama NPP Units 3-4, Shikoku Electric’s Ikata NPP Unit 3, and Kyushu Electric’s NPP Unit 3.

Source: KEPCO, FEPC, Others
Broken promises
Japan’s overall spent fuel storage capacity is about 24,000 tons, with over 80% already used. By 2030, the major utilities have set a goal to add 6,000 tons to that total capacity. That plan calls for an interim storage facility, such as the one on the premises of Tokai No. 2 NPP, or the one in Mutsu (Aomori Pref) operated by TEPCO and Japan Atomic Power. The latter, slated to launch in September, will primarily serve TEPCO’s Kashiwazaki Kariwa NPP, and will store 5,000 tons of spent fuel for 50 years before sending it to long-term storage.
KEPCO, Japan’s largest NPP operator, also has plans to use an interim storage facility – to launch in the early 2030s at a site that has yet to be determined – for its spent nuclear fuel. This was a crucial point in the plan proposed to Fukui Prefecture last year thanks to which the utility secured local government approval for reactor restarts. In addition, in August 2023, KEPCO, together with Chugoku Electric, began studying the possibility of building a mid-term storage facility in Kaminoseki (Yamaguchi Prefecture).
The setback of the Rokkasho plant completion has hit KEPCO hard. In autumn last year, the company proposed a plan to Fukui Prefecture, promising to send the spent fuel to an interim storage facility outside the prefecture’s borders. In fact, the company made such a promise in the late ’90s but it has not been fulfilled and no solution is in sight.
Now KEPCO says it can’t fulfill that promise at all until Rokkasho is completed. On August 30, KEPCO and ANRE met with Fukui’s Deputy Governor Washizu Mio to report the plan’s revision. The governor said it violated the deal made with the prefecture a year earlier, and the burden is on the utility to show a firm commitment to resolving the issue.
When asked about the new plan’s timetable, KEPCO said it would present one as soon as possible. While the company is not responsible for the delay, it was proposing a plan that was dependent on the continuously postponed Rokkasho facility.
On Sept 5, KEPCO’s President Mori Nozomu also met Fukui Governor Sugimoto Tatsuji, to discuss KEPCO’s spent fuel management plans. The Governor stressed the importance of building trust between nuclear business operators and municipalities. He also urged the company to present a revised plan as soon as possible. On Sept 9, the Aomori Pref Governor asked ANRE to hold a conference on the Nuclear Fuel Cycle with him and cabinet ministers.
KEPCO’s spent fuel can’t wait for Rokkasho’s plant to be complete. The utilization rates for spent fuel pools at KEPCO plants are as follows:
| NPP | Fuel assemblies’ capacity | Fue assemblies stored | Utilization rate |
| Mihama NPP | 652 | 476 | 73% |
| Takahama NPP | 3,758 | 3,223 | 86% |
| Oi NPP | 3,872 | 3,459 | 89% |
Conclusion
Given the high utilization rate of its NPP storage facilities, this summer KEPCO resorted to another solution for storing the fuel, i.e. dry storage facilities within the plants’ premises. (This solution will be discussed in Part II of this story, next week.)
The Rokkasho facility, however, remains central to Japan’s spent fuel management plans, and there are no signs that the country plans to abandon its dream of realizing a full nuclear fuel cycle. In the meantime, distrust is growing among the public and state agencies. Delays at Rokkasho have led Aomori Governor Miyashita to doubt JNFL’s management ability.
As for the Mutsu interim storage facility, many fear that, despite its name and intended use, it will end up storing nuclear material far longer than planned, since there will be nowhere else to ship spent nuclear fuel.
The same goes for the proposed facility in Kaminoseki. While Chugoku Electric is trying to restart its Shimane NPP Unit 2, locals fear that the company will end up lending the storage facility to KEPCO, which will then use it for its spent fuel coming from outside of the company’s jurisdiction. Needless to say, the locals are not enthusiastic. The idea of living in the proximity of large amounts of nuclear fuel is not appealing for many locals.
Unless the government finds a way to propose a viable plan for its nuclear fuel cycle and adhere to it, dismissing local criticisms and skepticism as mere symptoms of the “not in my backyard” mentality will ring hollow.
Repeated delays and broken promises from major industry stakeholders only make things worse when it comes to securing public trust. In turn, this only serves to compel nuclear operators to continuously replan and review their commitments.
If in the next few years Japan cannot make tangible progress toward its goal for long-term spent nuclear fuel processing and storage, then sooner or later, the country will have to reconsider its entire nuclear energy policy, which would eventually impact national energy decarbonization goals through 2050.
BY JOHN VAROLI
This weekly column focuses on energy events in Asia and the Pacific
Australia / BESS
PV module manufacturer Trina Solar has applied for a 660 MW/ 2.64 GWh battery energy storage system in Western Australia. If approved, the 4-hour duration BESS would be at the Kemerton Strategic Industrial Area that’s designated as a state-priority project, intended for strategic and heavy industries in the South-West.
China / Carbon market
China seeks feedback on a plan to include cement, steel and aluminium production in its carbon emissions trading scheme by year’s end, hoping this will boost market liquidity. China’s carbon market consists of a mandatory ETS and a voluntary GHG emissions reduction trading market known as the China Certified Emission Reduction scheme.
China / Energy transition
Global clean energy investments have increased rapidly over the past decade, rising from $248 billion in 2014 to $745 billion in 2023, reports Rystad Energy. During this time, China has deployed more clean energy technologies than all other countries combined.
Coal power
A G7 plan to shut coal power plants in emerging markets faces further delays after a July deadline passed without a deal on the early closure of an Indonesian power plant that would be the first targeted under the Just Energy Transition Partnerships, which calls to invest billions of dollars in Indonesia, South Africa, Vietnam, etc to help in the energy transition.
India / Solar power
Spain’s Zelestra secured $147 million in financing for its 435 MW Gorbea solar plant in Rajasthan state. Currently, Zelestra India has 1.5 GW of projects in operation, construction, signed, or awarded, with a total portfolio of almost 5 GW.
Indonesia / Green financing
The Asian Development Bank approved a $500 million policy-based loan to expedite Indonesia’s energy transition towards sustainable sources. The country’s goal is to reach net zero power emissions by 2050.
Lithium supply
With EV demand growth slower than anticipated, demand for lithium – an essential component in batteries – is slowly just as significant investment in new supply bears fruit. WoodMacEnzie forecasts a surplus of 220,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent in 2024, almost doubling to 436,000 tons in 2026.
Natural gas
U.S. natural gas futures rose 7% to a 12-week high on worries that some Gulf Coast oil and gas producers would reduce output ahead of a hurricane this week.
Solar power
This year the global community is on track to install 593 GW of solar power, a 29% rise YoY, reported Ember. China already has the largest solar capacity and leads the world with new additions for January-July 2024, 28% higher YoY.
South Korea / Nuclear power
The SMART100 small modular reactor design was granted standard design approval by South Korea’s Nuclear Safety and Security Commission. SMART100 (System-integrated Modular Advanced Reactor 100) is an advanced version of the original SMART design that became the world’s first SMR to receive approval in 2012.
A selection of domestic and international events we believe will have an impact on Japanese energy
| January |
|
| February |
|
| March |
|
| April |
|
| May |
|
| June |
|
| July |
|
| August |
|
| September |
|
| October |
|
| November |
|
| December |
|
Disclaimer
This communication has been prepared for information purposes only, is confidential and may be legally privileged. This is a subscription-only service and is directed at those who have expressly asked K.K. Yuri Group or one of its representatives to be added to the mailing list. This document may not be onwardly circulated or reproduced without prior written consent from Yuri Group, which retains all copyright to the content of this report.
Yuri Group is not registered as an investment advisor in any jurisdiction. Our research and all the content express our opinions, which are generally based on available public information, field studies and own analysis. Content is limited to general comment upon general political, economic and market issues, asset classes and types of investments. The report and all of its content does not constitute a recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell, subscribe for or underwrite any product or physical commodity, or a financial instrument.
The information contained in this report is obtained from sources believed to be reliable and in good faith. No representation or warranty is made that it is accurate or complete. Opinions and views expressed are subject to change without notice, as are prices and availability, which are indicative only. There is no obligation to notify recipients of any changes to this data or to do so in the future. No responsibility is accepted for the use of or reliance on the information provided. In no circumstances will Yuri Group be liable for any indirect or direct loss, or consequential loss or damages arising from the use of, any inability to use, or any inaccuracy in the information.
K.K. Yuri Group: Hulic Ochanomizu Bldg. 3F, 2-3-11, Surugadai, Kanda, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, Japan, 101-0062.
NEWS
・Ishiba Shigeru, lone anti-nuclear voice, wins LDP leadership race, set to become next Prime Minister
・Japan-U.S. energy roundtable calls for coordinated clean energy action to provide more decarbonize power volumes
・ENEOS Renewable Energy to join floating offshore wind in Norway, takes 20% stake in GoliatVIND